Looks like Marvel Studios could potentially have another enormous success waiting in the wings. BoxOffice.com is predicting that Captain Marvel will open between $140 million to $180 million at the domestic box office. More precisely, they’re predicting an opening weekend of $160 million and a domestic total of $465 million. This would make Captain Marvel the sixth largest opening for the Marvel Cinematic Universe and the second largest opening for any superhero origin movie – the first being Black Panther.
While this prediction may seem too good to be true, March isn’t devoid of such opening weekend successes. The Hunger Games ($152.5 million), Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice ($166 million), and Beauty and the Beast ($174.8 million) all prove that this is entirely possible. It’s already outpacing Captain America: Civil War in pre-sales according to Fandango. Additionally, Atomic Tickets have Captain Marvel as the second most anticipated movie behind Avengers: Endgame.
Despite what you may think of those trailers, they have been a success in getting audiences interested in Captain Marvel, as 70.7% of respondents who saw her second trailer intend to see the movie in theaters. This is only less than 7% behind Avengers: Endgame, of which 77.4% of respondents intend to see it in theaters. Let us not forget that the first trailer for Captain Marvel broke records as it was viewed 109 million times in 24 hours, beating the likes of Beauty and the Beast and Black Panther.
As for opening weekend and the weeks that follow, it will have all three weeks practically to itself after the only real competition, Godzilla: King of the Monsters, was moved from March to May instead. The only competition Captain Marvel will face opening weekend is a three week old How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden Worlds, which already historically don’t preform amazingly at the box office.
If it were to preform as BoxOffice.com predicts, then it’s possible that with sufficient legs, Captain Marvel could break one billion at the box office.
How do you think it will do at the box office? Do you think this prediction is accurate? Tell us your thoughts!